Cisco: From Internet Builder to AI Enabler

 
Asset Management, Companies and Industries, Investment Themes, The Economy August 22, 2025

Cisco: From Internet Builder to AI Enabler

Cisco has been instrumental in shaping the technology industry. In the 1990s and early 2000s, it played a critical role in shaping the modern internet, providing the routers and switches that allowed information to move seamlessly within and across networks. Its Internetwork Operating System (IOS) became the standard for configuring and managing enterprise networks, while early innovations in firewalls, intrusion detection, and network management laid the foundation for cybersecurity. At the peak of the dot-com bubble in March 2000, Cisco briefly became the most valuable company in the world. When the bubble burst and demand collapsed, many peers disappeared, but Cisco endured thanks to the strength of its core enterprise and government customer base.

Today, Cisco’s role is less about building intelligence itself and more about enabling enterprises to adopt and scale it. Unlike companies such as OpenAI, Google, or NVIDIA that focus on model development, Cisco makes its money by powering the infrastructure and operations layer that enterprises depend on. Its networking hardware moves massive datasets between GPUs, storage, and users in AI data centers, while its cybersecurity platforms protect organizations from increasingly sophisticated AI-driven threats. The company also enables observability and monitoring across hybrid and multi-cloud environments, helping IT teams ensure reliability and performance as systems grow more complex. And by driving automation across its platforms, Cisco helps enterprises simplify IT operations as AI workloads expand.

The 2024 acquisition of Splunk illustrates how Cisco is deepening this positioning. Splunk’s observability and security analytics give enterprises visibility into what’s happening inside complex systems, offering engineers the metrics, logs, and traces needed to detect problems quickly, pinpoint root causes, and keep AI pipelines running reliably. As AI adoption grows, observability is becoming mission-critical, and Splunk firmly plants Cisco at the center of this fast-growing opportunity. At the same time, Cisco continues to embed AI across its own platforms—from predictive networking and automated IT operations to AI-enhanced cybersecurity and Webex collaboration tools—while ensuring its AI guardrails emphasize fairness, privacy, and security.

Cisco lacks the direct monetization opportunities available to chipmakers and hyperscalers, and it competes with cloud providers that increasingly bundle networking and security into their platforms. However, its long-standing trust with enterprises, its scale, and its ability to operate across hybrid environments remain powerful advantages. As companies increasingly blend private data centers with public cloud infrastructure, Cisco provides the secure, reliable fabric that ensures workloads run efficiently. Broader industry trends, including 5G, edge computing, and the continued expansion of global data centers, only add to the demand for high-bandwidth, low-latency networking. Meanwhile, rising cybersecurity threats reinforce Cisco’s position as a critical enterprise security provider.

From an investment perspective, Cisco offers both stability and upside at an attractive valuation. The company trades at a forward P/E of about 16.5x, well below the S&P 500’s 22.3x and the technology sector’s 30.1x. Cisco pays a 2.45% dividend that provides steady income alongside growth exposure. Its ongoing shift from hardware sales to software and subscription-based revenues gives it greater earnings visibility, higher margins, and resilience against cyclical swings. Combined with its strong balance sheet and consistent shareholder returns, Cisco is well positioned to serve as the backbone of enterprise digital transformation in the AI and cloud era.

 

The opinions expressed in this video are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. It is only intended to provide education about the financial industry. As always, please remember that investing involves risk of loss of principal and capital. Nelson Capital Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Nelson Capital Management, LLC and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. No advice may be rendered by Nelson Capital Management, LLC unless a client service agreement is in place. Likes and dislikes are not considered an endorsement for our firm.

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